The line returned to -6 Wednesday, but it's been stable at -6.5 since FRiday evening. Arizona won its first seven games last year (6-1 ATS), then sputtered through the second half of the season. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. "Getting nearly a touchdown in this spot is too good to pass up. Week 1 of the 2021 NFL season features multiple mouthwatering matchups, including Cowboys vs. The total opened at 51.5, got to 52.5 in late July, then receded to 49.5 by Aug. 20. The Broncos opened -4.5 way back in mid-May, reached -6 in mid-August and -6.5 in late August. DraftKings opened the total at 52 and backed up to 51.5 a few times throughout August. This is one of my favorite picks for Week 1 of the NFL. A talented Buffalo defense largely enjoys continuity as well. Ryan is on the wrong side of 30, but he can decimate this Eagles defense in Week 1. Sam Darnold gets an immediate shot at his former team and will have more weapons to work with in Carolina. Sunday, 9/12 Update: Austin Ekeler, who is listed as questionable on the final injury report of the week with a hamstring injury, appears to be on track to play and fill his usual lead-back role. (Getty) Opening line: Broncos -3.5; Over/Under 41 Time: 8:15 p.m. NFL Week 1 odds: Spread, moneyline and totals The odds board has been active for NFL Week 1. The Bucs made a couple trips to -2 over the next two months, then dipped to -1.5 Aug. 5. Which side should you back in tight games like Chargers vs. Washington (-1) and Colts vs. Seahawks (-3)? The Bengals will be the most overvalued team in the market next season. The Philadelphia Eagles took care of business when they faced the Detroit Lions last season, notching a 44-6 blowout win. Point-spread ticket count is almost 2/1 and money 6/1 on Kansas City. The public is on the Bills, and they're playing Bills moneyline, too. The late May news of DeAndre Hopkins' suspension and last month's arrest of fellow wideout Marquise Brown for speeding added to the anti-Cards sentiment. Chark, Laviska Shenault, Marvin Jones, and handing the ball off to James Robinson and Travis Etienne. The defense also gets a healthy Derwin James back after he suffered a season-ending knee injury for a second straight year in 2020. And it's time to pour out that cup of coffee, with the regular season now underway. In early July, the line went to pick, then in mid-July to Buffalo -1. The Titans were back in the playoffs last season and Ryan Tannehill mostly proved his excellent 2019 run was no mirage. It reaches roughly 1,470 users and delivers about 3,240 pageviews each month. Open Result. Pick: Washington +1.5 More NFL odds, picks, and predictions for Week 1. News over the summer initially got bettors on the Chiefs' bandwagon. Here we will look at how the spread for Week 1 changes in the days leading up to the start of the 2021 NFL season. NFL Week 1 Picks 2021. NFL Week 1 odds with the current lines shown here are from DraftKings Sportsbook. ET WEDNESDAY: As with every other sportsbook, the opening Monday nighter has been a big mover on PointsBet USA's NFL Week 1 odds board. However, the Dolphins moved from -2.5 to -3 on Aug. 28, then went to -3.5 Tuesday. Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers. Still, I believe the Cardinals explosive offense will hit their stride and the defense will carry their weight. The likes of Miles Sanders and rookie Kenneth Gainwell are among those that could support Hurts with a strong ground attack. Updated NFL Week 1 odds. "Nobody is quite sure what to make of Bradys offseason and what is going on with him heading into the regular season. "Almost all the money is at 2.5. Las Vegas is actually taking the modest majority of spread tickets, at 56%, and is drawing 68% of spread cash. "There was sharp play on Chiefs -3," Shelton said. ET WEDNESDAY: The Chargers hit PointsBet USA's NFL Week 1 odds market as 4-point favorites, then spent most of the summer at -3.5, save for a couple short stints at -3. CLAIM OFFER CAESARS SPORTSBOOK $1,250 BET ON CZR! So it's [bettors taking] Bucs -2.5 and Cowboys on the moneyline," WynnBet vice president of trading Alan Berg said. Matters were much better on the other side of the ball in 2020, and Tennessee will get to show off their shiny new toy, Julio Jones, in this one. See which other teams to pick here. The Dolphins remain -3.5 this morning, while taking 59% of spread bets and 62% of spread dollars. The entire league is desperate for the spell to be broken in New England after a tough 7-9 season in 2020, but they also had so many issues to deal with. "This one has moved a lot," Murray said. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine. Interestingly, even with Beckhams status still uncertain, the line has moved down 1.5 points toward the Browns since the open, with KCs projected advantage going from 6.5 to 5 points. Multiple oddsmakers provide their insights on NFL Week One odds and action. The Bucs not only made good on becoming the first team in NFL history to secure a Super Bowl title in its home stadium, but they followed it up by doing something almost as unprecedented in the salary cap era they retained each and every key component of that championship squad that had a chance to go elsewhere. Caesars went straight to -5.5, then onto -6.5 by Tuesday evening. The team certainly has acquired plenty of offensive talent for Carr in recent drafts and also added a pair of veteran pass-catchers in John Brown and Willie Snead this offseason, while the Josh Jacobs-led backfield was bolstered further by the acquisition of Kenyan Drake. If they dont win all three of those games, Pittsburgh is probably closer to +3 or +3.5. He had 26 sacks from 2019-20 before missing all but one game in 2021, and he ended up, in all places, with the rival Vikings. Make no mistake, this Jaguars team is loaded with untapped potential. You're celebrating if you bet on the Colts-Texans ending in a tie! Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds from Caesars and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. The Bucs are landing 70% of spread bets for Sunday Night Football, but that's translating to just 55% of spread dollars. ET Monday, Sept. 12 (ABC/ESPN) After spending most of the summer at -4.5, the Broncos advanced to -5.5 and then -6 on Aug. 21. Point-spread ticket count is running 2/1 and point-spread cash 3/1 on the Bills. The Packers were already favored by 3 points over New Orleans at most books, but this spread has been increasing in favor of Green Bay given that the Saints no longer have home field advantage. ET WEDNESDAY: PointsBet USA opened Miami -3 and made multiple trips to -2.5 throughout the summer. If you ignore the games against a woeful New York Jets side, it took them until week 9 to win by more than 7 points, so it makes sense that odds on the 7-point-spread favor the Steelers here. Dallas and Tampa met in last year's regular-season opener, with the Bucs eking out a 31-29 victory, and the Cowboys cashing as 10-point 'dogs. Minnesota also both won and covered in last year's home game against the Packers. Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished off Sunday's slate of games by beating the Dallas Cowboys. Baltimore signed free agents Devonta Freeman, Latavius Murray and LeVeon Bell in response to the latest back, Gus Edwards, going down. ETSUNDAY:Less than two hours until kickoff, WynnBet has the line at Buccaneers -2.5. Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,900 since its inception, and find out. The game isnt going to be even close, but with it being Opening Week, the spread never tends to be too big. Defense was frequently an issue for Mike Vrabels squad a year ago, with the free agent signing of Bud Dupree one of the notable moves this offseason to address that deficiency. Tennessee has A.J. All of the Week 1 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 1 NFL picks now. Darrell Henderson, who rushed for 624 yards on 147 carries in 2020, should receive the brunt of the carries for the Rams with Akers on the shelf. I dont expect this to be a big decision for the book, but I do think its one of the most interesting games of Week 1. Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray have heard all the detractors and will look to piece everything together in 2021. Those quarterbacks combine for 300 yards of passing in the simulations, while a trio of 49ers running backs combine for 150 yards on the ground. But boy, is it consistently entertaining. Following an NFL season that conformed to the unique realities of playing a professional team sport during a pandemic, the 2021 campaign promises a return to what could be considered near normal. UPDATE 10 P.M. See who else to back here. McIntyre: "Im not a trend bettor, but one worth looking at in Week 1: Teams that didnt make the playoffs last season against teams that did. But we do know for sure that his offensive line has been decimated by preseason injuries," Murray said. UPDATE 9 P.M. With kickoff approaching, the total is back at the 52 opener, with 62% of bets/53% of money on the Over. The model also enters the 2021 season on an incredible 120-78 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. "When it comes to this matchup, the Titans were the No. 1 pick in the 2022 NFL Draft hammer the Jaguars. The reigning Super Bowl champions are eight-point favorites against the Cowboys in the latest Week 1 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Road Open Spread. 2021 NFL Week 1 odds: 49ers open as biggest favorites, eight games have spread of three points or less But today's move had more to it than that. By submitting your data, you agree to our. Point spread: Lions (+5.5) cover by losing by fewer than 5.5 points (3)Moneyline: Eagles win as -250 favorites (bet $10 to win $14 total); Lions were +190 underdogs (bet $10 to win $29 total)Total scoring over/under: Over 48 points scored by both teams combined (73), Point spread: Ravens (-6.5) covers by winning by more than 6.5 points (15)Moneyline: Ravens win as -303 favorites (bet $10 to win $13.30 total); Jets ware +220 underdogs (bet $10 to win $32 total)Total scoring over/under: Under 44 points scored by both teams combined (33), Miami Dolphins 20, New England Patriots 7, Point spread: Dolphins (-3) cover by winning by more than 3 points (13)Moneyline: Dolphins win as -162 favorites (bet $10 to win $16.15 total); Patriotswere +125 underdogs (bet $10 to win $22.50 total)Total scoring over/under: Under 46.5 points scored by both teams combined (27), Point spread: Bears (+6.5) cover by winning outrightMoneyline: Bears were +220 underdogs (bet $10 to win $32 total); 49ers were -303 favorites (bet $10 to win $13.30 total)Total scoring over/under: Under 37 points scored by both teams combined (29), Jacksonville Jaguars 28, Washington Commanders 22, Point spread: Commanders (-3) cover by winning by more than 3 points (6)Moneyline: Commanders win as -162 favorites (bet $10 to win $16.17 total); Jaguars were +125 underdogs (bet $10 to win $22.50 total)Total scoring over/under: Over 43.5 points scored by both teams combined (50), Indianapolis Colts 20, Houston Texans 20 (OT), Point spread: Texans (+7) cover by playing to a tieMoneyline: Colts were -400 favorites (bet $10 to win $12.50 total); Texans were +280 underdogs (bet $10 to win $38 total)Total scoring over/under: Under 46 points scored by both teams combined (40), Point spread: Bills (-2) cover by winning by more than 2 points (21)Moneyline: Bills win as -138 favorites (bet $10 to win $17.25 total); Rams were +115 underdogs (bet $10 to win $21.50 total)Total scoring over/under: Under 52 points scored by both teams combined (41). 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